APPLICATION OF THE MONTE CARLO METHOD TO DETERMINE OF EVACUATION PARAMETERS FROM SETTLEMENTS

Authors

  • Svilen Stefanov Logistics and Management Faculty, National Military University, Veliko Tarnovo, Bulgaria https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1465-6804
  • Tihomir Yotkov Logistics and Management Faculty, National Military University, Veliko Tarnovo, Bulgaria
  • Iliyan Lilov Logistics and Management Faculty, National Military University, Veliko Tarnovo, Bulgaria
  • Vanya Dimitrova Research and Innovation Institute, National Military University, Veliko Tarnovo, Bulgaria

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.68302/std2026.vol1.71

Keywords:

crisis, evacuation, simulation modelling

Abstract

This paper examines a potential application of the Monte Carlo method for estimating the number of people subject to evacuation during floods. Software for the simulation modelling of water disasters is utilized. The proposed method can also be applied to other crisis situations, supporting the planning of response activities and the allocation of necessary resources.

Supporting Agencies

We would like to express our gratitude to programme “Research, Innovation and Digitalisation for Smart Transformation” 2021-2027, funded by the European Union, Project BG16RFPR002-1.014-0008 “Sustainable development of Center for Competence “Quasar” for supporting this article.

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References

[1] Y. T. Yousif and A. N. A. Hamdan, "Flood Simulation Utilizing HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS," Civil Engineering Journal, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 231-251, Jan. 2026, doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2026-012-01-013.

[2] H. F. Abd-Elhamid, L. A. Franzetti, M. Zelenakova, and Y. Z. Kaya, "Development of integrated hydrologic and hydrodynamic models for flood modeling in Radiša catchment at Western Slovakia using HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS," Natural Hazards, vol. 121, no. 18, pp. 22183-22209, Sep. 2025, doi: 10.1007/s11069-025-07683-5.

[3] D. Zhang, Y. Li, M. He, and X. Ke, "Accurate Calculation of the Area of Jianghan University Based on Monte Carlo Algorithm," International Journal of Global Economics and Management, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 228-234, May 2025, doi: 10.62051/ijgem.v7n1.27.

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Published

17.09.2026

Issue

Vol. 1 (2026): Proceedings of the International Conference on Secure Systems Design and Technology Development.

Section

DEFENSE AND SECURITY TECHNOLOGY

License

Copyright (c) 2026 Svilen Stefanov, Tihomir Yotkov, Iliyan Lilov, Vanya Dimitrova

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

How to Cite

[1]
S. Stefanov, T. Yotkov, I. Lilov, and V. Dimitrova, “APPLICATION OF THE MONTE CARLO METHOD TO DETERMINE OF EVACUATION PARAMETERS FROM SETTLEMENTS”, SysTechDev, vol. 1, pp. 455–459, Sep. 2026, doi: 10.68302/std2026.vol1.71.