A CONCEPTUAL MODEL FOR RISK MANAGEMENT IN HYBRID THREATS AND COGNITIVE ATTACKS

Authors

  • Milko Stefanov Rakovski National Defense College, Sofia, Bulgaria

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.68302/std2026.vol1.46

Keywords:

hybrid threats, cognitive warfare, risk management, cognitive resilience

Abstract

This report presents an integrated conceptual model for risk management, adapted to the specifics of hybrid threats and cognitive warfare. In the conditions of a changed strategic environment, where the objects of attack are not only physical assets, but also human consciousness and social cohesion, traditional risk assessment models prove to be insufficient. The report analyzes the essence of cognitive attack at the biological, psychological and social levels, considering the influence of technologies such as artificial intelligence and algorithmic sabotage. Qualitative risk indicators are presented through the OODA (Observe, Orient, Decide, Act) loop and NATO's "The House" model. The central place is occupied by the proposed conceptual model for quantitative transformation of cognitive risk, based on institutional vulnerability, media amplification and cognitive resilience of society.

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Published

17.09.2026

How to Cite

[1]
M. Stefanov, “A CONCEPTUAL MODEL FOR RISK MANAGEMENT IN HYBRID THREATS AND COGNITIVE ATTACKS”, SysTechDev, vol. 1, pp. 479–485, Sep. 2026, doi: 10.68302/std2026.vol1.46.