SECURE AND RESILIENT OPERATION OF HYBRID PV-WIND-STORAGE SYSTEMS FOR MODULAR E-FUEL PRODUCTION UNDER DISTURBANCES

Authors

  • Iliyan Hutov Defence Institute “Professor Tsvetan Lazarov”, Sofia, Bulgaria
  • Petia Nedyalkova Defence Institute “Professor Tsvetan Lazarov”, Sofia, Bulgaria https://orcid.org/0009-0006-7156-0891
  • Hristo Hristov Defence Institute “Professor Tsvetan Lazarov”, Sofia, Bulgaria https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9753-8664

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.68302/std2026.vol3.180

Keywords:

deterministic optimization, hybrid PV-wind-storage system, modular e-fuel production, resilient operation

Abstract

Secure and resilient operation is a critical requirement for modular Power-to-Liquid e-fuel plants supplied by intermittent renewable energy. This paper investigates a modular e-fuel production architecture powered by a hybrid photovoltaic-wind-battery system and evaluates its response to short-duration renewable disturbances. A deterministic operational model is formulated for renewable generation, battery buffering, electrolyzer dispatch, hydrogen production, and aggregate fuel synthesis. To improve engineering realism, the framework incorporates electrolyzer ramp-rate constraints and a degradation-aware operating index. The optimization objective is to sustain fuel continuity while limiting curtailment, electrolyzer power variance, and dynamic stress. Beyond the main stressed-case comparison, the study includes sensitivity analysis of the PV/Wind ratio and storage capacity, together with Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis under stochastic renewable fluctuations. Relative to the no-buffer baseline, the optimized dispatch increases daily fuel output by 11.6%, reduces electrolyzer power variance by 66.3%, and improves the disturbance-window resilience score by 36.2%. The results show that secure operation of modular PtL plants emerges from coordinated design of renewable mix, storage, and supervisory control rather than from renewable-following logic alone.

Supporting Agencies

This scientific report is funded by the Ministry of Education and Science in implementation of the Scientific Program „Security and Defence“, adopted by Decree No. 731 of 21.10.2021 and pursuant to Agreement No. D01-74/19.05.2022.

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Published

17.09.2026

How to Cite

[1]
I. Hutov, P. Nedyalkova, and H. Hristov, “SECURE AND RESILIENT OPERATION OF HYBRID PV-WIND-STORAGE SYSTEMS FOR MODULAR E-FUEL PRODUCTION UNDER DISTURBANCES”, SysTechDev, vol. 3, pp. 379–386, Sep. 2026, doi: 10.68302/std2026.vol3.180.